FEN Monitoring 2026-2027

El Niño phenomenon in Peru Prevention and official information

The National El Niño Monitoring Network (ENFEN) maintains its alert for the Coastal El Niño phenomenon. An extraordinary magnitude is projected until January 2027. The Universidad de Piura presents its specialized monitoring to anticipate the impact on the northern region.

Presentation

Regional impact, key figures and what official forecasts say.

Mapa satelital de Sudamérica con Piura señalada

Regional impact and key figures

The phenomenon will drastically impact the Peruvian coast. ECLAC projects that the economic damage could represent up to 4.51% of Peru's GDP due to the rains and floods.

62%Probability of extraordinary magnitude
71 256Reported cases of dengue
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PHENOMENON ALERT Monitoring at SENAMHI

Rain forecast · Piura

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Extraordinary magnitude

Enfen projects that the warming in the Niño 1+2 region will continue in an extraordinary way until the beginning of 2027.

Transnational effect

NOAA estimates the persistence of the anomalies affecting the atmospheric dynamics of the entire South Pacific basin.

Heavy rains

Senamhi warns of rainfall accumulations significantly higher than normal values on the northern coast.

Health risk

Minsa reports an exponential increase in the curve of vector-borne diseases (dengue, Zika) associated with the climate.

History: the milestones of the FEN 2026-2027

Chronology of the phenomenon, from the current alert to its weakening.

Active alert

The National Meteorological Service (ENFEN) maintains its "Alert" status. Residents are urged to prepare for abnormal rainfall.

Intensification

Frequent moderate to heavy rains in Tumbes, Piura and Lambayeque.

Critical Summer

Heavy rains and economic impact. ECLAC estimates structural and agricultural damage.

Transition

El Niño will decrease to a strong magnitude until the beginning of autumn and then weaken.

News

Notes, interviews and articles from UDEP about the FEN.

Interviews and articles · UDEP specialists available for analysis.

The alteration of the ocean-atmosphere system has its historical epicenter of direct impact on the northern coast of Peru and the southern coast of Ecuador.

Rodolfo Rodríguez

Ramón Mugica Scientific Station
Read the full interview
The economic losses will be severe. The micro and small business sector is emerging as the most vulnerable in the wake of the pandemic.

Brenda Silupú

Faculty of Economic Sciences
Read the full interview
Having access to ENFEN's technical monitoring through public access is a vital tool for prevention.

Antonio Mabres

Researcher and former rector
Read the full interview

Preparation begins with accurate information

Consult data, research and analysis prepared by the University of Piura.

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